1 00:00:10,450 --> 00:00:08,350 yeah so I can be talking about large 2 00:00:15,130 --> 00:00:10,460 captured satellites and that natural 3 00:00:16,990 --> 00:00:15,140 satellites exomoons and just briefly 4 00:00:20,710 --> 00:00:17,000 we've talked a lot about Kepler in this 5 00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:20,720 session and these are the all the 6 00:00:27,040 --> 00:00:25,730 results as of the last double a s so far 7 00:00:28,890 --> 00:00:27,050 and you can see there are tons of 8 00:00:31,090 --> 00:00:28,900 planets they're getting but they cannot 9 00:00:32,710 --> 00:00:31,100 you know when we get out here in the 10 00:00:33,910 --> 00:00:32,720 habitable zone they start to get fewer 11 00:00:36,160 --> 00:00:33,920 and fewer because you get fewer and 12 00:00:37,270 --> 00:00:36,170 fewer transits it's harder to detect so 13 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:37,280 most of the planets we actually know 14 00:00:41,860 --> 00:00:40,130 about that are out in this region you 15 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:41,870 know it's similar temperatures to earth 16 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:45,410 are much larger than Earth they're giant 17 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:48,530 planets and really didn't expect this 18 00:00:53,080 --> 00:00:51,050 but you know ten years ago people said 19 00:00:54,549 --> 00:00:53,090 you're crazy if you thought there are so 20 00:00:57,729 --> 00:00:54,559 many giant planets out here but there 21 00:00:59,290 --> 00:00:57,739 are tons of them there aren't there 22 00:01:01,360 --> 00:00:59,300 aren't the majority of planets in there 23 00:01:03,700 --> 00:01:01,370 but there are lots of them there and we 24 00:01:05,650 --> 00:01:03,710 know that they're there so you know 25 00:01:08,290 --> 00:01:05,660 potentially you know if you want to try 26 00:01:13,059 --> 00:01:08,300 and find habitable places this sounds 27 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:13,069 like a good place to start especially is 28 00:01:16,359 --> 00:01:14,810 you know if they're big enough they 29 00:01:21,339 --> 00:01:16,369 might have satellites that are large 30 00:01:24,070 --> 00:01:21,349 enough to be habitable in order to be 31 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:24,080 handle on the surface you need to be at 32 00:01:31,029 --> 00:01:27,170 least somewhat new as a large desert you 33 00:01:32,260 --> 00:01:31,039 know Mars astronomer somewhat is large 34 00:01:34,210 --> 00:01:32,270 so you know with an order of magnitude 35 00:01:36,999 --> 00:01:34,220 to the size of Earth is what we're 36 00:01:39,219 --> 00:01:37,009 talking about here but that's still 37 00:01:41,350 --> 00:01:39,229 pretty hard for the satellites in our 38 00:01:46,419 --> 00:01:41,360 solar system so you need something quite 39 00:01:48,609 --> 00:01:46,429 large to do that but if you look at the 40 00:01:51,580 --> 00:01:48,619 natural satellites in our solar system 41 00:01:54,490 --> 00:01:51,590 the largest one is Ganymede it's just a 42 00:01:56,290 --> 00:01:54,500 little bit larger than mercury and which 43 00:01:57,880 --> 00:01:56,300 means is quite smaller than Earth the 44 00:01:59,650 --> 00:01:57,890 only one of them actually even has an 45 00:02:02,919 --> 00:01:59,660 atmosphere is Titan and that's because 46 00:02:04,839 --> 00:02:02,929 it's so cold at time wouldn't keep its 47 00:02:07,900 --> 00:02:04,849 atmosphere if you were as close to the 48 00:02:10,900 --> 00:02:07,910 Sun as Earth is simply because they just 49 00:02:15,220 --> 00:02:10,910 get too hot and the it would escape away 50 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:15,230 pretty fast so it's really hard to have 51 00:02:23,260 --> 00:02:19,610 a large satellite close into 52 00:02:26,740 --> 00:02:23,270 a star it's just it gets they the the 53 00:02:29,170 --> 00:02:26,750 dynamics of how it creats around the the 54 00:02:31,420 --> 00:02:29,180 planet just make it so that you know 55 00:02:34,210 --> 00:02:31,430 you're not going to get you know 56 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:34,220 naturally forming satellites around the 57 00:02:41,470 --> 00:02:36,890 planet that are much larger than 58 00:02:45,370 --> 00:02:41,480 Ganymede even if you have a much larger 59 00:02:48,430 --> 00:02:45,380 joint plan to start out with so it sort 60 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:48,440 of tricky to get you know much better 61 00:02:56,340 --> 00:02:52,850 than this unless you start to look at 62 00:02:58,600 --> 00:02:56,350 other means of having satellites and 63 00:03:00,729 --> 00:02:58,610 bright yellow you say regular satellites 64 00:03:03,400 --> 00:03:00,739 these are satellites are formed from the 65 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:03,410 from a sir compliant airy disk you know 66 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:04,970 like like the disk around the stars 67 00:03:08,530 --> 00:03:06,770 begin with but it's around the planet 68 00:03:11,710 --> 00:03:08,540 and they form a little miniature solar 69 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:11,720 system irregular satellites are objects 70 00:03:17,949 --> 00:03:14,810 that form somewhere else somewhere else 71 00:03:20,979 --> 00:03:17,959 is usually for the giant planets meaning 72 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:20,989 on the Kuiper belt region but it also 73 00:03:27,840 --> 00:03:25,010 mean asteroids as well which come in and 74 00:03:31,030 --> 00:03:27,850 then afterwards get captured and 75 00:03:34,330 --> 00:03:31,040 afterwards is still a long time ago you 76 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:34,340 know solar system wise but it was still 77 00:03:37,690 --> 00:03:36,170 much after all the planets and 78 00:03:40,330 --> 00:03:37,700 everything had formed and then as things 79 00:03:42,490 --> 00:03:40,340 were so dynamically evening evening out 80 00:03:43,930 --> 00:03:42,500 these captures happen we've only been to 81 00:03:46,449 --> 00:03:43,940 one of these irregular satellites and 82 00:03:50,500 --> 00:03:46,459 that's Phoebe because they tend to be in 83 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:50,510 very wide orbits very you know serve it 84 00:03:54,759 --> 00:03:53,330 you know eccentric at the edges sort of 85 00:03:56,710 --> 00:03:54,769 thing and that's how we can tell that 86 00:03:58,810 --> 00:03:56,720 they're they've obviously been captured 87 00:04:00,490 --> 00:03:58,820 because you have to have been captured 88 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:00,500 to be there there are probably much 89 00:04:04,000 --> 00:04:02,090 closer in satellites but they were also 90 00:04:06,070 --> 00:04:04,010 captured we just can't tell who they're 91 00:04:11,830 --> 00:04:06,080 captured because they've sort of evened 92 00:04:13,810 --> 00:04:11,840 out and one of the ones that's evened 93 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:13,820 out quite a bit but it's still obviously 94 00:04:19,240 --> 00:04:17,450 a capture is neb is frightening now most 95 00:04:21,819 --> 00:04:19,250 capture satellites are very small this 96 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:21,829 is the largest of the Saturnian capture 97 00:04:27,490 --> 00:04:23,210 satellites and this is only a couple 98 00:04:29,589 --> 00:04:27,500 hundred kilometers across where is this 99 00:04:32,540 --> 00:04:29,599 guy here is about the size of our moon 100 00:04:36,719 --> 00:04:32,550 so it's about 3,000 kilometers or 101 00:04:39,570 --> 00:04:36,729 and it's the only large satellite of 102 00:04:41,189 --> 00:04:39,580 Neptune all the other Giants sell 103 00:04:45,570 --> 00:04:41,199 although other giant planets have 104 00:04:47,850 --> 00:04:45,580 certain nice little systems of this is 105 00:04:51,420 --> 00:04:47,860 Jupiter Saturn yours all of these nice 106 00:04:53,339 --> 00:04:51,430 systems of regular satellites don't have 107 00:04:57,570 --> 00:04:53,349 that on Neptune Neptune you just have 108 00:04:59,610 --> 00:04:57,580 Triton and a few very very small guys so 109 00:05:03,570 --> 00:04:59,620 and Trident is in this retrograde 110 00:05:05,040 --> 00:05:03,580 backwards orbit so the only story that 111 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:05,050 makes sense here is that you used to 112 00:05:11,670 --> 00:05:07,690 have a regular satellite system and then 113 00:05:14,189 --> 00:05:11,680 something happens such that Triton came 114 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:14,199 through bulldozer threw away all of 115 00:05:20,490 --> 00:05:17,770 those regular satellites and that were 116 00:05:25,740 --> 00:05:20,500 much smaller than it and you had and you 117 00:05:27,629 --> 00:05:25,750 know did just left itself and you know 118 00:05:29,070 --> 00:05:27,639 in that way you end up sort of trading 119 00:05:31,860 --> 00:05:29,080 up because you start out with a much 120 00:05:35,730 --> 00:05:31,870 much smaller satellites and end up with 121 00:05:38,189 --> 00:05:35,740 something that's quite a bit larger you 122 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:38,199 know we thankfully we have actually been 123 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:39,250 to train this is a bit of a synthetic 124 00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:42,250 image but you can actually see these all 125 00:05:45,959 --> 00:05:43,690 streaks on there those are actually 126 00:05:48,209 --> 00:05:45,969 little plumes of nitrogen they're 127 00:05:50,939 --> 00:05:48,219 trailing up dust onto the surface this 128 00:06:03,680 --> 00:05:50,949 is an active dynamic surface out of the 129 00:06:11,340 --> 00:06:09,450 all right kidney hear me okay so what we 130 00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:11,350 think probably happened to cause this 131 00:06:17,010 --> 00:06:14,170 this capture event was that giant 132 00:06:18,690 --> 00:06:17,020 planets migrate and if you've not been 133 00:06:20,340 --> 00:06:18,700 following planetary science this is the 134 00:06:22,500 --> 00:06:20,350 most revolutionary thing that has 135 00:06:24,630 --> 00:06:22,510 happened in solar system science in the 136 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:24,640 past ten years is this realization that 137 00:06:30,270 --> 00:06:27,970 the giant planets are in many cases 138 00:06:31,860 --> 00:06:30,280 nowhere near where they were when they 139 00:06:33,990 --> 00:06:31,870 actually originally formed and we used 140 00:06:35,820 --> 00:06:34,000 to we used to map out with the the 141 00:06:37,410 --> 00:06:35,830 protoplanetary disk was like we just 142 00:06:39,180 --> 00:06:37,420 kind of assumed all the planets where 143 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:39,190 they were and then we just saw spread 144 00:06:43,830 --> 00:06:40,690 out that material and said okay it's a 145 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:43,840 disk reality they're much more compact 146 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:46,090 we had a much more massive disk so 147 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:49,810 they're all very close in and in Neptune 148 00:06:57,120 --> 00:06:51,810 actually probably was inside of Uranus 149 00:06:58,830 --> 00:06:57,130 and then Jupiter and Saturn gun to me 150 00:07:00,420 --> 00:06:58,840 motion residents with each other they 151 00:07:02,790 --> 00:07:00,430 kind of moved it around a little bit you 152 00:07:04,950 --> 00:07:02,800 can see there but they really moved 153 00:07:09,930 --> 00:07:04,960 around the smaller of the two giants and 154 00:07:12,570 --> 00:07:09,940 so Neptune's swiftness and went out into 155 00:07:14,490 --> 00:07:12,580 this big disk of material which is the 156 00:07:18,630 --> 00:07:14,500 you know the prototype er belt and 157 00:07:20,670 --> 00:07:18,640 dissipated most of it and in the process 158 00:07:23,010 --> 00:07:20,680 of dissipating it encounter a lot of 159 00:07:25,710 --> 00:07:23,020 things and one of those that encountered 160 00:07:27,300 --> 00:07:25,720 was frightened it's probably the largest 161 00:07:29,550 --> 00:07:27,310 thing it actually had a close encounter 162 00:07:32,820 --> 00:07:29,560 with and trying got captured and 163 00:07:36,810 --> 00:07:32,830 bulldozer delay all of the original 164 00:07:41,700 --> 00:07:36,820 satellites of Uranus and just left 165 00:07:45,060 --> 00:07:41,710 itself so how supposed to be a picture 166 00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:45,070 their butts condo never mind so you know 167 00:07:49,770 --> 00:07:47,650 planets migrate and this migration 168 00:07:53,340 --> 00:07:49,780 happens both ways in our solar system it 169 00:07:54,570 --> 00:07:53,350 happened in outward motion with you know 170 00:07:56,550 --> 00:07:54,580 missions like Kepler we're starting to 171 00:07:59,250 --> 00:07:56,560 get all the all the migrations that have 172 00:08:02,220 --> 00:07:59,260 not in word so this can go in both 173 00:08:05,130 --> 00:08:02,230 directions and the drawing plans come in 174 00:08:06,300 --> 00:08:05,140 that can go out and and one there when 175 00:08:07,500 --> 00:08:06,310 they're migrating they aren't counting 176 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:07,510 lots of objects that were there 177 00:08:14,460 --> 00:08:10,570 previously and you can have these 178 00:08:17,250 --> 00:08:14,470 captures occur but to have a capture 179 00:08:19,680 --> 00:08:17,260 you need to it's a angular momentum 180 00:08:23,100 --> 00:08:19,690 switch right is if you're coming in and 181 00:08:25,020 --> 00:08:23,110 it you know at a hyperbolic orbit when 182 00:08:27,570 --> 00:08:25,030 you're approaching a planet you're going 183 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:27,580 at least parabolic if not hyperbolic you 184 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:30,370 have as much energy going out as you 185 00:08:34,680 --> 00:08:33,010 came in with if nothing happens so what 186 00:08:36,779 --> 00:08:34,690 you need is some sort of an event when 187 00:08:38,490 --> 00:08:36,789 you're close to the planet which causes 188 00:08:41,190 --> 00:08:38,500 you to lose a little bit of energy and 189 00:08:46,050 --> 00:08:41,200 trade angular momentum with the system 190 00:08:48,390 --> 00:08:46,060 and the two two ways you can do this one 191 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:48,400 is that you already have a satellite and 192 00:08:53,730 --> 00:08:51,730 you get rid of it along the way so this 193 00:08:57,480 --> 00:08:53,740 is what the method that is our most 194 00:09:01,410 --> 00:08:57,490 commonly you know given for the capture 195 00:09:03,090 --> 00:09:01,420 of Triton is he you have Trident and 196 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:03,100 then you have maybe a satellite and it 197 00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:05,650 comes in close comes in close and you 198 00:09:11,100 --> 00:09:07,930 know the motion of the two objects 199 00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:11,110 themselves together is hyperbolic but 200 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:12,490 then when they get close here one's 201 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:14,050 going a little bit faster than I 202 00:09:18,079 --> 00:09:15,610 prologue and one's going a little bit 203 00:09:22,079 --> 00:09:18,089 slower so then right at closest approach 204 00:09:24,060 --> 00:09:22,089 you kick off one of them and it goes off 205 00:09:25,590 --> 00:09:24,070 really fast and the other guy is going 206 00:09:29,940 --> 00:09:25,600 but much slower and it gets captured 207 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:29,950 into the elliptical orbit around here so 208 00:09:34,500 --> 00:09:31,930 that's a really clean it's a very neat 209 00:09:37,290 --> 00:09:34,510 way of doing it unfortunately you also 210 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:37,300 you have to presuppose that you have a 211 00:09:42,450 --> 00:09:39,730 satellite on there which makes it a lot 212 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:42,460 more complicated then cuz it's a 213 00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:47,410 two-stage process the other way to do 214 00:09:53,540 --> 00:09:49,930 that is to say that you already have a 215 00:09:55,530 --> 00:09:53,550 satellite around the giant planet which 216 00:09:58,260 --> 00:09:55,540 you know makes sense because all the 217 00:10:01,110 --> 00:09:58,270 giant planets have many satellites and 218 00:10:03,350 --> 00:10:01,120 then and you actually swap places with 219 00:10:05,940 --> 00:10:03,360 it with that now it's a much smaller 220 00:10:08,370 --> 00:10:05,950 cross-section to do this you need to be 221 00:10:12,780 --> 00:10:08,380 just or just just right to get in there 222 00:10:16,740 --> 00:10:12,790 but you know do you have much more 223 00:10:20,910 --> 00:10:16,750 satellites to work with so potentially 224 00:10:24,300 --> 00:10:20,920 is a much more effective method so oh so 225 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:24,310 that so this is a case here where you're 226 00:10:27,639 --> 00:10:26,650 coming in and so the squigglies there 227 00:10:29,290 --> 00:10:27,649 are 228 00:10:31,269 --> 00:10:29,300 the small satellite around one of the 229 00:10:33,730 --> 00:10:31,279 the large objects the red object and 230 00:10:36,609 --> 00:10:33,740 then you got the blue here which is the 231 00:10:39,340 --> 00:10:36,619 other large object and they get close 232 00:10:41,559 --> 00:10:39,350 here and then this small guy absorbs 233 00:10:43,210 --> 00:10:41,569 most of the momentum of the system gets 234 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:43,220 and just gets tossed out of there at 235 00:10:47,439 --> 00:10:45,050 like 10 kilometers a second it's just 236 00:10:49,150 --> 00:10:47,449 zooming out and so it's taking away all 237 00:10:50,949 --> 00:10:49,160 this momentum and they get trapped in 238 00:10:52,900 --> 00:10:50,959 into a nice elliptical orbit around each 239 00:10:56,259 --> 00:10:52,910 other and you let that go long enough 240 00:11:00,400 --> 00:10:56,269 and they'll actually circularize just 241 00:11:03,220 --> 00:11:00,410 something that's nice and stable so I 242 00:11:06,819 --> 00:11:03,230 meant to do a bunch of simulations that 243 00:11:09,009 --> 00:11:06,829 for various reasons it didn't happen but 244 00:11:11,109 --> 00:11:09,019 simulations that I've done so far mainly 245 00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:11,119 with this first method and those what 246 00:11:17,290 --> 00:11:15,050 they re student some for last where we 247 00:11:19,179 --> 00:11:17,300 were just sort of taking making 248 00:11:23,109 --> 00:11:19,189 synthetic systems where you had a earth 249 00:11:28,449 --> 00:11:23,119 and a moon or earth with a moon that's 250 00:11:30,040 --> 00:11:28,459 the size of Mars or Mars with the moon 251 00:11:31,809 --> 00:11:30,050 that's the size of our moon and just 252 00:11:34,419 --> 00:11:31,819 kind of toss that at a giant planet and 253 00:11:35,860 --> 00:11:34,429 see if the captures or not and you know 254 00:11:38,049 --> 00:11:35,870 in general we were getting so captures 255 00:11:39,879 --> 00:11:38,059 maybe sir ten five percent of the time 256 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:39,889 and some you know depending on the 257 00:11:44,470 --> 00:11:41,689 circus is up to twenty percent of the 258 00:11:45,489 --> 00:11:44,480 time so you know it's it's not that it 259 00:11:49,059 --> 00:11:45,499 happens every time there's a close 260 00:11:52,239 --> 00:11:49,069 encounter but it's not incredibly rare 261 00:11:54,249 --> 00:11:52,249 either now of course you can see here 262 00:11:55,749 --> 00:11:54,259 the most common outcome for most of 263 00:11:58,840 --> 00:11:55,759 these was that there was an impact so 264 00:12:00,429 --> 00:11:58,850 that your most common case the large one 265 00:12:02,230 --> 00:12:00,439 impacts or maybe the smaller win impacts 266 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:02,240 but the red line there is the actual 267 00:12:06,220 --> 00:12:04,490 capture event and it it does happen is 268 00:12:11,319 --> 00:12:06,230 more likely in these cases that the 269 00:12:13,150 --> 00:12:11,329 larger of the two captures it's good and 270 00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:13,160 then we've all you know that when they 271 00:12:16,989 --> 00:12:15,170 capture they always capture in two very 272 00:12:18,970 --> 00:12:16,999 eccentric orbits but they don't stay 273 00:12:21,069 --> 00:12:18,980 that way because eccentric orbits are 274 00:12:22,749 --> 00:12:21,079 not stable when you're near something so 275 00:12:24,759 --> 00:12:22,759 their body tied circular isaam pretty 276 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:24,769 fast and they circle eyes and they're 277 00:12:28,749 --> 00:12:27,170 tidally locked they are we talking about 278 00:12:31,809 --> 00:12:28,759 tightly lock a lot today but they're 279 00:12:33,460 --> 00:12:31,819 tightly locked to the planet and they 280 00:12:37,660 --> 00:12:33,470 tend to be in orbits that are a couple 281 00:12:40,030 --> 00:12:37,670 days so you know as far as lumination is 282 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:40,040 concerned you know the they're seeing 283 00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:41,250 the Sun just 284 00:12:46,070 --> 00:12:43,050 often as they would if they were you 285 00:12:49,640 --> 00:12:46,080 know in a 24-day rotation period at 1a 286 00:12:52,010 --> 00:12:49,650 you and in fact if you were on the far 287 00:12:53,450 --> 00:12:52,020 side of one of these exomoons you'd 288 00:12:58,540 --> 00:12:53,460 never know that you're in orbit around a 289 00:13:05,530 --> 00:13:01,460 so they get you know about fifty percent 290 00:13:09,860 --> 00:13:05,540 of them then it have captured our serve 291 00:13:11,540 --> 00:13:09,870 you know circular as well and they get 292 00:13:14,000 --> 00:13:11,550 and the circularization happens fast 293 00:13:15,860 --> 00:13:14,010 this happens in about a million years so 294 00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:15,870 they get a lot of heat they're like I oh 295 00:13:22,130 --> 00:13:20,130 very briefly they get a lot of heat you 296 00:13:24,560 --> 00:13:22,140 know in this pulse but they're also 297 00:13:26,090 --> 00:13:24,570 bulldozing away all the other moons IO 298 00:13:27,590 --> 00:13:26,100 has heating there because it's 299 00:13:32,510 --> 00:13:27,600 interacting with the other satellites in 300 00:13:35,390 --> 00:13:32,520 the solar system peter system if Triton 301 00:13:36,770 --> 00:13:35,400 doesn't have that and we're really 302 00:13:38,450 --> 00:13:36,780 looking at cases more like Triton words 303 00:13:40,490 --> 00:13:38,460 bulldozing away everything else and 304 00:13:42,590 --> 00:13:40,500 you're just left without with that one 305 00:13:44,510 --> 00:13:42,600 so you're not gonna have long term tidal 306 00:13:48,560 --> 00:13:44,520 heating in these there any heating 307 00:13:51,260 --> 00:13:48,570 interior is going to be radiogenic long 308 00:13:54,740 --> 00:13:51,270 live stuff and finally are they 309 00:13:57,410 --> 00:13:54,750 detectable probably but you need a lot 310 00:13:58,490 --> 00:13:57,420 of transits to tell the first few 311 00:13:59,930 --> 00:13:58,500 transits they're just gonna be off a 312 00:14:02,120 --> 00:13:59,940 little bit and it's going to look like 313 00:14:04,010 --> 00:14:02,130 noise in the data you lots and lots of 314 00:14:06,829 --> 00:14:04,020 transits to tell and it's only the 315 00:14:08,780 --> 00:14:06,839 furthest most of the exoplanets that we 316 00:14:10,280 --> 00:14:08,790 can actually do this for so 7 plus 317 00:14:11,660 --> 00:14:10,290 transits for something as a 1a you 318 00:14:14,780 --> 00:14:11,670 around a solar type star that takes 319 00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:14,790 seven years it's going to take a little 320 00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:16,410 while before we start to get these XM 321 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:17,730 ones because we just need lots and lots 322 00:14:24,500 --> 00:14:21,530 of transits and so just wrapping it up 323 00:14:26,060 --> 00:14:24,510 exit wounds are potentially large enough 324 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:26,070 to be habitable the ones that are 325 00:14:30,170 --> 00:14:27,930 potentially habitable are the easiest to 326 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:30,180 detect so if we hear about any exit 327 00:14:33,770 --> 00:14:32,130 wounds within the next 10 years they're 328 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:33,780 going to be ones we want to look at for 329 00:14:38,630 --> 00:14:37,410 habitability you know to capture these 330 00:14:43,070 --> 00:14:38,640 there are a couple of different ways to 331 00:14:45,470 --> 00:14:43,080 do it but Sir training up satellites is 332 00:14:47,810 --> 00:14:45,480 potentially most effective way to do it 333 00:14:49,430 --> 00:14:47,820 and then once you're captured the about 334 00:15:00,920 --> 00:14:49,440 a fifty percent chance that the tides 335 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:04,019 um so what does that sudden peak in 336 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:06,130 tidal heating mean for habitability so 337 00:15:09,420 --> 00:15:07,450 if there was life before would be 338 00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:09,430 completely sterilized from the capturing 339 00:15:14,250 --> 00:15:12,610 process probably but it's also i mean 340 00:15:15,990 --> 00:15:14,260 we're talking about like a couple of 341 00:15:18,269 --> 00:15:16,000 million years after the disc dissipation 342 00:15:20,220 --> 00:15:18,279 so that was that would be before life 343 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:20,230 the earliest evidence they have real 344 00:15:24,030 --> 00:15:21,610 life on Earth this is sort of the same 345 00:15:26,910 --> 00:15:24,040 time scale is the moon-forming impact on 346 00:15:28,829 --> 00:15:26,920 earth which was a sterilization event so 347 00:15:32,430 --> 00:15:28,839 yeah you can think about the same sort 348 00:15:34,170 --> 00:15:32,440 of it's actually less dramatic than the 349 00:15:35,699 --> 00:15:34,180 moon firing because the movie forming 350 00:15:38,519 --> 00:15:35,709 impacts tripped into our surface this 351 00:15:43,980 --> 00:15:38,529 would just heat up the surface but only 352 00:15:47,819 --> 00:15:43,990 for about a million years did you 353 00:15:49,980 --> 00:15:47,829 mention that you had any candidates so 354 00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:49,990 that they've been looking so this is 355 00:15:54,629 --> 00:15:53,050 this is Kepler data for one that they 356 00:15:58,290 --> 00:15:54,639 thought was and it turns out this was 357 00:16:00,000 --> 00:15:58,300 actually a an unseen non transiting 358 00:16:03,060 --> 00:16:00,010 planet that was causing these timing 359 00:16:06,150 --> 00:16:03,070 variations but this the search miss 360 00:16:09,090 --> 00:16:06,160 horny and kipping were doing was just 361 00:16:11,569 --> 00:16:09,100 too I was looking for them and it's 362 00:16:13,650 --> 00:16:11,579 eventually going to look like that but 363 00:16:15,509 --> 00:16:13,660 you know they were going to be a lot 364 00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:15,519 more and this one you can tell this is 365 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:17,050 days on the bottom there so this is all 366 00:16:21,449 --> 00:16:19,930 very large variation the variations were 367 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:21,459 going to probably looking for for the 368 00:16:29,009 --> 00:16:25,810 dialects and moons are serve five to one 369 00:16:31,319 --> 00:16:29,019 minute type variations so you need 370 00:16:34,699 --> 00:16:31,329 really good data any lots of it to be 371 00:16:37,199 --> 00:16:34,709 very confident they're going to see it 372 00:16:40,530 --> 00:16:37,209 but potentially it could be there in the 373 00:16:42,389 --> 00:16:40,540 Kepler data if we mine it enough it's 374 00:16:47,970 --> 00:16:42,399 really computationally intensive to do 375 00:16:51,300 --> 00:16:47,980 though so is there some sort of minimum 376 00:16:53,189 --> 00:16:51,310 ratio for satellite exchange like do you 377 00:16:55,559 --> 00:16:53,199 have to have a mars-sized satellite 378 00:16:57,090 --> 00:16:55,569 initially for an earth-sized satellite 379 00:16:59,400 --> 00:16:57,100 to take its place there's not a minimum 380 00:17:02,790 --> 00:16:59,410 ratio but the you know the closer the 381 00:17:06,060 --> 00:17:02,800 ratio the the higher the cross section 382 00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:06,070 for it but yeah you know I further 383 00:17:13,260 --> 00:17:11,530 for for that case the small guy there is 384 00:17:17,700 --> 00:17:13,270 a hundredth of the mass of the other two 385 00:17:20,940 --> 00:17:17,710 guys so he's Oommen off there at you